Rising food prices (5.5% increase over the past year) and rising energy costs have led to a rise in overall inflation. The consumer price index rose from 2.5% in March to 3% in April, triggering concerns that the Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, would have once again to write an explanatory letter to the Chancellor for inflation going over its target rate.
Biggest jump in cost of living for six years surprises the city Guardian (4/5/08)
The danger of inflation fixation Guardian (14/5/08)
Dear Alistair …. Guardian (13/5/08)
Rising food prices send inflation surging to 3% Guardian (13/5/08)
Playing the percentage game for high stakes Guardian (9/5/08)
High street prices in biggest surge since 1992 Times Online (29/5/08)
UK inflation jumps to 3% in April BBC News Online (13/5/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain the principal factors that led to the sharp rise in the cost of living for April. |
| 2. |
Assess the extent to which inflation may be higher for many groups in society than the consumer price index figures indicate. |
| 3. |
Discuss the extent to which an interest rate increase would help to reduce inflation in a climate of rising food and energy prices. |
The Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, recently talked about the end of the ‘nice’ decade. He was not using this in its normal sense, but was taking about a ‘non-inflationary, consistently expansionary’ decade of economic growth. Economists and journalists have been busy suggesting other acronyms for the situation that we face now including VILE (‘volatile inflation, less expansionary’) and the less generous CRAP (close to recession, absent a policy’). So are we facing a new more inflationary and less stable period of economic development? Is the ‘nice’ period really over?
Recession alert as Brown fights back Guardian (15/5/08)
‘It’s things outside the Bank’s control that are going up’ Guardian (14/5/08) (Podcast)
Nasty truth behind those nice headlines Times Online (19/5/08)
Inflation prospects will make a master letter writer out of Mervyn King Times Online (13/5/08)
Which way from the edge of the abyss? Guardian (25/4/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain the main factors that have led to the past decade being a ‘NICE’ one. |
| 2. |
Assess the extent to which we are moving into a ‘VILE’ period . |
| 3. |
Evaluate two policies that the government could adopt to try to avoid the UK economy moving into a VILE period. |
To try to help reduce inflation, the People’s Bank of China (the central bank of China) has ordered banks to hold a greater proportion of their assets as cash. These higher reserve requirements will limit the ability of the banks to create deposits and is a form of monetary policy intended to support the fight against inflation. However, how successful is this likely to be given the rapid economic growth being experienced by China?
China lifts reserve requirements for banks Times Online (12/5/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain how a higher reserve requirements helps reduce inflation. |
| 2. |
Evaluate two policies that the central bank could adopt, other than raising reserve requirements to help control inflation in China. |
| 3. |
“As underlying inflationary pressures remain undiminished, it is vital for the government to keep its tightening policy stance to anchor inflationary expectations.” Discuss the extent to which a tightening policy stance will influence inflationary and other expectations. |
The prospect of a severe recession in America has inevitably drawn parallels in the media with the Great Depression of 1929. The parallel may not be entirely appropriate in terms of scale and severity, but what lessons are there that can be learnt from the Great Depression?
Credit crunch: risk-taking Times Online (23/3/08)
America gets depressed by thoughts of 1929 revisited Times Online (23/3/08)
Lessons learnt from Great Depression Times Online (25/3/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain the principal causes of the Great Depression of the 1930s. |
| 2. |
Assess the parallels between the current economic situation in America and the situation preceding the Great Depression in 1929.
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| 3. |
Discuss the extent to which the recent loosening of monetary and fiscal policy in America will help reduce the likelihood of recession. |
Late March saw the auctioning by the Bank of England of £10.9bn to boost liquidity in financial markets. This was £5bn more than had been expected and so should help ease the liquidity position for cash-strapped banks and other financial institutions.
When the rivers run dry The Economist (6/3/08)
Bank of England answers pleas with £5bn injections Times Online (21/3/08)
Questions
| 1. |
Explain what is meant by liquidity. |
| 2. |
Assess the main factors that have resulted in a shortage of liquidity in financial markets. |
| 3. |
Discuss the extent to which this extra liquidity is likely to help reduce the likelihood of recession in the UK. |